Charles R. Twardy Avatar
Charles R. Twardy
Machine learning, philosophy of science, reasoning, judgment & decision-making, forecasting. Middle-aged dad. Once and future hiker. Learning handstands.
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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@news I somehow hadn’t noticed Epilogue before. Looks interesting.

It installed on my iPhone 7 but won’t run. Begins to launch then I’m back on the Home Screen. iOS 15.8.

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@jabel wow very cool.

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@aa lovely

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@ReaderJohn Good essay, thank you.

I was struck by this and other hypocritical missteps in the paragraph it is from:

If you want a saner GOP, don’t demonize every other possibility, from DeSantis to Vance. …

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

Daniel Lakens on why we won’t move beyond p<.05. Key: few really offered alternatives.

Part 2 of an excellent 2-part reflection on the APA special issue 5 years ago.

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

In-depth review of pending Metascience reforms at NIH by Stuart Buck at GoodScience. Excellent in-depth commentary.

This newsletter covers no fewer than four exciting metascience developments, with huge potential for improving science and medicine at NIH and elsewhere.

Including:

  • FY24 Appropriations Bill
  • Senate Report of 2023
  • Cassidy Report
  • House Report
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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@aa Yay!

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

This is promising: you can run LLM inference and training on 13W of power. I’ve yet to read the research paper, but they found you don’t need matrix multiplication if you adopt ternary [-1, 0, 1] values.

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

Daniel Miessler suggests the Left is fueling Trump with a defeatist and anti-American narrative.

I started following Miessler for cyber-security. I like his generally centrist and wide-ranging take, and respect what he’s accomplished with hard work and self study. He’s onto something here.

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@gregmoore very nice

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

The Shackles of Convenience.

#lifestyle #social #screens #dystopia

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@tinyroofnail postman is really good here.

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@ayjay wow. Not my image of Texas!

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

Found an old tab with a reminder that misinfo isn’t just on the Right.

I like being wrong?

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

Chesterton - on The Family ctwardy.micro.blog
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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

In praise of idleness - Bertrand Russel ctwardy.micro.blog
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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

My neighbor’s astonishingly vivid azalea

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@jean super cute!

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@Mikehendley stunning

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@jabel we love our frogs and record the spring peepers and wood frogs and American toads every year.

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

Starting Harrow by Tamsyn Muir. 📚

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

Finished The Difficult Subject by (pen name) Molly Macallen, book 2 in the Maddy Shanks mystery series. 📚

Dr Shanks tries to resume her academic life while the trial from book one begins in Philadelphia. But her chair wants her to investigate the the surprising death of her predecessor.

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@numericcitizen Finder with “as Gallery” mode does basic photo browse with metadata on the right.

I wrote a quick Automator for “resize image to 96px” — it shows up on Quick Actions along with built ins like rotate left, remove background.

Maybe could add “resize thumbnail?”

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@ReaderJohn wow, I bet.

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@ayjay What a gorgeous font!

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

Wim Vanderbauwhede estimates ChatGPT uses ~60x as much energy as Google search. (Geometric mean of other estimates, with analysis.)

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@hollyhoneychurch indeed. Thank you for sharing.

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@jean two syllables feels so wrong.

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

“The first step is to draw a diagram. When you draw a diagram you’re loading it into your GPU. That is the key.” ~Casey Handmar on solving problems

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

The analogical case with humans would be where established authors, for example, sued new and upcoming authors for having learned their craft, in part, by reading the works of established authors.

I suggest the answer, however, is not twisting existing copyright law into performing new functions badly, but in writing new laws that directly address the new problems

~Kevin Korb, Generative AI Does Not Violate Copyright but Needs To

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@jabel wow!

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@ctwardy huh. Wonder why the link didn’t.

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

❝ Consider that Amazon has had to cap the number of self-published “books” an author can submit to a mere three books per day

~Cory Doctorow [The Coprophagic AI Crisis](https://pluralistic.net/2024/03/14/inhuman-centipede/#enshittibottification)

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@gregmoore well played, sir.

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@frjon alternate theory: starting with digit plus bad error message?

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@gregmoore - great find. This struck me:

Are AI language models in hell? Yes. How could existence on a narrow ticker tape, marching through a mist of language without referent, cut off entirely from ground-floor reality, be anything other than hell?

I don’t think language models are conscious; I don’t think they can suffer; but I do think there is such a thing as “what it’s like to be a language model”, just as there is “what it’s like to be a nematode” and maybe even (as some philosophers have argued) “what it’s like to be a hammer”.

And I find myself unsettled by this particular “what it’s like”.

Really, this is about the future. It’s possible that super advanced AI agents will suffer.

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@tracydurnell looks delightful

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@Miraz fun!

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

@jabel I feel very called out. Worth reading.

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

Infant Mortality & Decline of the West ctwardy.micro.blog
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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

❝ this plutocratic assumption behind progressive fads

An arresting phrase from Chesterton, What’s Wrong with the World. He says:

modern movements… generally repose upon some experience peculiar to the rich.

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

The greatest of these is Search ctwardy.micro.blog
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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

Alan Jacobs again: Hatred alone is immortal.

Ah, the problem with the world. But Chesterton whispers, “The problem with the world? I am.” How to hold that truth without self-loathing, to see humanity’s flaws and foibles, and love us despite and because of them. Pratchett as his best does this.

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

‘Speak when you are angry and you will make the best speech you will ever regret.’ – Ambrose Bierce

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

❝ For Ockham, the principle of simplicity limits the multiplication of hypotheses not necessarily entities. Favoring the formulation “It is useless to do with more what can be done with less,” Ockham implies that theories are meant to do things, namely, explain and predict, and these things can be accom... ctwardy.micro.blog
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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

Bari Weiss: Why DEI Must End for Good

I’m afraid she’s right. Worth watching or reading in entirety.

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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

The blurry JPEG ctwardy.micro.blog
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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

A few good things in psychology ctwardy.micro.blog
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Charles R. Twardy
@ctwardy

❝ Would studies like this be better if they always did all their stats perfectly? Of course. But the real improvement would be not doing this kind of study at all.

~ Adam Mastroianni, There are no statistics in the kingdom of God